Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.411723 2.757090 3.135614 3.581468 4.092563 4.660488 5.339954
2025-08-03 1.854113 2.313611 2.863661 3.571562 4.460014 5.540249 6.956689
2025-08-10 1.538374 2.037747 2.672646 3.540946 4.700853 6.201616 8.298714
2025-08-17 1.308293 1.819215 2.501451 3.481984 4.860473 6.737477 9.501460
2025-08-24 1.175151 1.704509 2.442169 3.549284 5.176816 7.494289 11.067721
2025-08-31 1.065088 1.604104 2.384368 3.601694 5.464335 8.225281 12.662787
2025-09-07 0.955824 1.489401 2.288887 3.580852 5.630977 8.783047 14.044667
2025-09-14 0.854265 1.373418 2.176331 3.516543 5.715818 9.213409 15.260036
2025-09-21 0.774848 1.282674 2.091691 3.483699 5.841072 9.711052 16.625972
2025-09-28 0.702667 1.195462 2.002644 3.431647 5.924422 10.140891 17.913217
2025-10-05 0.691093 1.207895 2.077889 3.662038 6.507556 11.465251 20.890487
2025-10-12 0.648656 1.162406 2.049503 3.707570 6.768092 12.249415 22.974753
2025-10-19 0.616281 1.135938 2.059307 3.836905 7.220748 13.473379 26.114674
2025-10-26 0.565535 1.071597 1.996443 3.829339 7.425916 14.279409 28.590391
2025-11-02 0.517727 1.007024 1.925385 3.796324 7.575018 14.989784 30.957427
2025-11-09 0.471882 0.940996 1.844103 3.733004 7.654535 15.568337 33.121266
2025-11-16 0.446357 0.912178 1.831638 3.805285 8.015764 16.751463 36.702303
2025-11-23 0.421510 0.881929 1.812827 3.861575 8.348439 17.909999 40.373243
2025-11-30 0.391340 0.837332 1.759898 3.839190 8.508247 18.715388 43.352329
2025-12-07 0.359921 0.786762 1.689230 3.770120 8.556199 19.278904 45.841983
2025-12-14 0.334447 0.746499 1.636490 3.734846 8.675714 20.014314 48.828805
2025-12-21 0.309698 0.705318 1.577594 3.678943 8.740476 20.629309 51.598741
2025-12-28 0.309705 0.720431 1.645852 3.926389 9.552675 23.096638 59.312693